Conferences and Workshops

Invited Talks

Harte, D.S. (2016). Problems in Determining the Uncertainty in Earthquake Forecasts. CSEP-Japan Workshop on Earthquake Forecasting. Earthquake Research Institute (ERI), University of Tokyo, 19–20 Oct 2016.

Harte, D.S. (2013). Stochastic Earthquake Models: Ways to Improve and Insights into the Physical Process. Workshop on Dynamics of Seismicity, Earthquake Clustering and Patterns in Fault Networks. Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute (SAMSI), North Carolina, 9–11 Oct 2013.

Harte, D.S. (2012). Bias in Fitting the ETAS Model: A Case Study Based on NZ Seismicity. International Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Real-Time Probability Forecasting for Earthquakes. Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, 11–14 Mar 2012.

Bebbington, M.; Wang, T.; Harte, D.S. (2012). A Hidden Markov Model for the Earthquake Cycle. International Symposium on Statistical Modeling and Real-Time Probability Forecasting for Earthquakes. Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, 11–14 Mar 2012.

Harte, D.S. (2011). Modelling NZ Seismicity with the ETAS Model. David Vere-Jones 75th Birthday Seminar Series. Waikanae, 4 May 2011.

Harte, D.S.; Thomson, P.J. (2007). Periodic Autoregressive Models for New Zealand Hydro Catchment Inflows: An Evaluation of Their Ability to Forecast the Risk of Persistent Low Inflows. Proceedings of the Cherry Bud Workshop 2007 "Interaction Through Data", pp 103–106. Keio University, Yokohama, 13–16 March 2007.

Harte, D.S. (2005). An HMM with Observations Dependent on the Current and Previous Markov States. 2nd Workshop in the NZIMA Programme on Hidden Markov Models and Complex Systems. Victoria University of Wellington, 5–8 December 2005.

Harte, D.S. (2005). An Introduction to Discrete Time Hidden Markov Models. 2nd Workshop in the NZIMA Programme on Hidden Markov Models and Complex Systems. Victoria University of Wellington, 5–8 December 2005.

Harte, D.S.; Pickup, M.; Thomson, P.J. (2005). Risk Forecasting Models for New Zealand Hydro Catchment Inflows. Cherry Bud Workshop 2005 "Quantitative Risk Management: Theory and Practice". Yokohama, Japan, March 2005. Hosted by Keio University, Yokohama.

Harte, D.S. (2004). Fractals, Point Processes and Earthquakes. Proceedings of the Cherry Bud Workshop: Analysis of Natural and Social Phenomena, Data Science and System Reduction, pp 124–130. Pan Pacific Yokohama, Japan, 21–23 March 2004. Hosted by Keio University, Yokohama.

Harte, D.S. (2002). Interpretation and Uses of Fractal Dimensions in Modelling Earthquake Data. Workshop on Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics. Institute for Mathematics and its Applications, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, 10–14 June 2002.

Vere-Jones, D.; Harte, D. (2001). Developing and Evaluating Time-Varying Probability Forecasts over an Extended Region. American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, EOS Trans. AGU 82(47), Fall Meeting Suppl., Abstract S41C-05. San Francisco, 10–14 December 2001.

Harte, D.S. (2000). Estimation of Higher Order Renyi Dimensions. 5th World Congress of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability and 63rd Annual Meeting of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. Guanajuato, Mexico, 15–20 May 2000.

Harte, D. (1998). Statistical Seismology Using S-PLUS. Presented a series of lectures and tutorials. International Workshop on Statistical Seismology, Hangzhou. Workshop Documentation, Green Book, pp 10–28 (in Chinese). China Seismological Bureau, 16–20 June 1998.

Some Recent Presentations

Harte, D.S. (2017). Uncertainty in Earthquake Forecasts: The 2016 Kaikoura Sequence. Poster at 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology. Te Papa, Wellington, 21–24 Feb 2017.

Bebbington, M.S.; Harte, D.S.; Williams, C. (2017). Cumulative Coulomb Stress Triggering as an Explanation for the Canterbury (New Zealand) Aftershock Sequence: Initial Conditions Are Everything? Poster at 10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology. Te Papa, Wellington, 21–24 Feb 2017.

Harte, D.S. (2016). Determining the Probability Distribution of Earthquake Forecasts. Poster at the NZSA Conference. AUT, Auckland, 28–30 Nov 2016.

Harte, D.S. (2016). Determining the Uncertainty in Earthquake Forecasts. Seminar at Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, 26 Sep 2016.

Harte, D.S. (2015). Modelling Earthquake Aftershock Sequences. Poster at the NZSA Conference. Canterbury University, Christchurch, 24–26 Nov 2015.

Harte, D.S. (2013). Further Investigations into the ETAS Model. 8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology. Peking University, 11–15 Aug 2013.

Harte, D.S.; Bebbington, M. (2011). Relationships Between the Discrete and Continuous Time Hidden Markov Models. Third Wellington Workshop in Probability and Mathematical Statistics. Victoria University of Wellington, 28–29 Nov 2011.

Harte, D.S. (2011). Point Processes and Earthquakes. Workshop on Current Research in Statistics and Data Science. Royal Society of NZ, Wellington, 24 Feb 2011 and Victoria University, 2 March 2011.